Publications | Inclusive growth in Mozambique

Report

Intergenerational Social Mobility in Mozambique

Giulia Barletta, Finn Tarp and Sam Jones

This report is the result of an analysis of intergenerational social mobility in Mozambique using data collected from six administrative posts across four provinces (Maputo, Zambézia, Sofala, and Nampula) under the Vulnerable Lives Survey (VLS).

February 2025

Report

Agricultural development in Mozambique

Márcia Chelengo, Sofiaré Jamu, Hanna Berkel, Peter...

This report examines the trends, challenges, and opportunities in Mozambique’s agricultural sector from 2002 to 2020, with a particular emphasis on smallholder farming. It is based on a novel dataset produced under the Inclusive growth...

February 2025

Working paper

How reliable are national accounts estimates of agricultural output?

Sam Jones and Marcelo Mucocana

Measurement errors in macroeconomic aggregates such as GDP have been widely lamented, particularly in low-income contexts. This study investigates the reliability of one component of national accounts, agricultural sector output.

February 2025

Journal article

The gendered impact of digital jobs platforms

Sam Jones and Kunal Sen

This study examines the impact of digital labor-market platforms on jobs outcomes using a randomized encouragement design embedded in a longitudinal survey of Mozambican technical-vocational college graduates.

February 2025

Journal article

Firm profitability and forced wage labour in Portuguese Africa

Sam Jones

Forced wage labour (FWL) in colonial-era Portuguese Africa came to encompass a majority of working age men and persisted until the early 1960s. On the basis of reconstructed financial records from the Sena Sugar Estates...

February 2025

Journal article

Digital labour platforms as shock absorbers

Sam Jones and Ivan Manhique

Digital labour platforms have grown five-fold over the past decade, enabling significant expansion of gig work worldwide. We interrogate the critique that these platforms tend to amplify aggregate shocks for registered workers. Based on the...

January 2025

Working paper

Can social pensions for the elderly mitigate shocks?

Sara Almeida, Hanna Berkel, Sam Jones, Patricia...

This study investigates the contribution of Mozambique’s flagship social pension programme, the Programa de Subsídio Social Básico, to building resilience against shocks. Applying a fuzzy regression discontinuity approach to bespoke survey data, we separate direct...

February 2025

Journal article

Encouraging micro-enterprises to prepare for disasters: A socio-psychological and information-provision analysis for the case of Mozambique

Worldwide, enterprises are affected by disasters such as cyclones and floods. Despite these negative impacts, many do not prepare for future disasters.

January 2025

Working paper

Market System Resilience Index (MSRI) in Mozambique

Isa Chiconela and Lina Henao

The Market System Resilience Index (MSRI) has been developed both to guide development practitioners in the process of conducting resilience assessments and to promote the inclusion of all relevant actors within a market system (Choptiany...

December 2024

Working paper

The impact of development schemes on the income and food security of small-scale farmers in Mozambique producers in Mozambique (in Portuguese)

Sérgio Ponguane

Development contracts have been at the center of policymakers' attention as an alternative for correcting market failures.

November 2024

Working paper

The influence of agricultural associations on maize marketing in Mozambique (in Portuguese)

Ivan Manhique & Tânia Cristina Fafetine

The transformation of subsistence agriculture into commercial agriculture is one of the strategic objectives of the Mozambican government.

November 2024

Working paper

The evolution of ‘extensive agriculture’ in Niassa and its impact on the environment from 2012-2022 (in Portuguese)

Joaquim Miranda Maloa

The aim of this article is to map and quantify the evolution of deforestation caused by extensive agriculture in Niassa in the period 2012-2022 and, finally, to estimate the percentage loss of vegetation cover in...

November 2024

Journal article

The evolution of inequality in Mozambique 1996/97–2019/20

Giulia Barletta, Maimuna Ibraimo, Vincenzo...

After decades of war, Mozambique experienced sustained economic growth and poverty reduction from the mid-1990s. However, these positive dynamics started to revert from 2015. Meanwhile, inequality stagnated in the period 1996/97–2008/09, before markedly increasing afterwards.

September 2024

Journal article

The socio-economic impact of coal mining in Mozambique

Eva-Maria Egger, Michael Keller and Jorge Mouco

This study assesses the impact of four coal mines in Mozambique on socio-economic outcomes of the local population. We combine four waves of household surveys with coal mine locations and employ a difference-in-differences model. The...

May 2024

Journal article

The gendered impact of digital jobs platforms

Sam Jones, Kunal Sen

THIS ARTICLE IS ON EARLY VIEW | This study examines the impact of digital labor-market platforms on jobs outcomes using a randomized encouragement design embedded in a longitudinal survey of Mozambican technical-vocational college graduates.

May 2024

Working paper

Cultivating change: the long-term impact of forced labour in Mozambique

Margherita Bove, Rute Martins Caeiro, Rachel...

Following the abolition of slavery, various forms of compulsory labour were adopted by colonial powers to develop their economies. This paper analyses the contemporary consequences of compulsory cotton production—a forced labour system that operated in...

April 2024